[Sephiroth]

Originally Posted by Maggy

I'll take downquark's opinion over anyone else on this site on matters scientific.

Sure - but what we have from Downquark is an estimated startpoint and a consequential current point. The points in between are as true as all the other points. But what is the method for correction? The unknown cases, the asymptomatic cases and so on.

What factor are they using to include these unknowns and what is the basis for that factor? For example can you project the curve backward because you presumably have the function/equation from current statistics.