Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
No. They just slow things down. Only two things will stop this virus. A vaccine or herd immunity.
What worries me is that the longer this virus is out there, the more of a risk that it will mutate, which means we start all over again.
The lockdown is an understandable and yet panic reaction to this virus which may turn out to be recognised as a huge mistake when we look back on it.
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To take your points in order.
1) Again, There is NO guarantee whatsoever that herd immunity will work. Nor is there a guarantee that a vaccine will work. What you have failed to understand yet again is that the lockdowns are designed to limit the pressure on services and to limit the deaths sustained over a period of time. I'll leave the maths here, there's really no point trying to keep explaining it. Most others seem to understand.
2) The virus has already mutated. Chinese scientists identified 33 strains of it. Link to this is
here
3) This isn't the last lockdown, My guess is we're in for quite a few over the next twelve months. Until such time as an effective vaccine or if we can prove that herd immunity will work then life as we know will considerably change people will simply just have to accept it and get used to it or face the criminal/medical consequences.
If neither herd or vaccine are achievable, then all bets are off & EVEN IF one of those two methods prove successful then life as we know it will change irretrievably in many aspects.
---------- Post added at 11:09 ---------- Previous post was at 11:07 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by jonbxx
In public, yes...
Old Boy is right in that herd immunity is the only way to effectively stop this, either by getting the disease or immunisation while still running a functioning society. You could prevent cases and let the disease 'die out' by the strictest of strict isolation but that simply isn't possible without a sanitorium/leper colony type setup.
It's a tough one, balancing out the disease rate, vs. the impact of economic inactivity..
---------- Post added at 11:05 ---------- Previous post was at 10:42 ----------
In other news, had my first COVID vaccine call today. Exciting times!
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Great, just point us to the evidence that herd immunity works for this virus?
Congrats
on the vaccine call !