Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
It's not me bursting a blood vessel here, jfman. I am going to let you take a spell to calm yourself.
I have made my views perfectly clear for most people but you are either not understanding them or you are deliberately trying to send me up.
I also understand what you are saying. However, I don't think any amount of arguing will resolve the differences between us on this.
I guess we will soon see what doesn't work and what does.
---------- Post added at 14:16 ---------- Previous post was at 14:08 ----------
This is why the lockdown was introduced, to flatten out the statistics. So we agree on that.
Where we diverge is that you say (if I interpret you correctly) that the lockdown should continue to avoid deaths.
However, it won't. The virus will still claim its victims, but not so quickly.
Would it not be better to protect the vulnerable and let herd immunity do its magic with the healthier population, ensuring that the vulnerable are among the 20% who escape its impact? That's what I am advocating.
That way, we minimise the impact and get the economy going again.
However, whether even that would succeed is debateable. The elderly in care homes are dying in great numbers, despite being given as much isolation as is practicable. However maybe, just maybe, we can protect the vulnerable in their own homes.
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So, a couple of points.
1) Lockdown does not mean the same amount of deaths over a longer period of time. It means less deaths over a longer period of time as we have the resources and the equipment to be able to manage the amount of cases that required dedicated intensive care.
IF it was the same amount of deaths that would occur regardless of if you had a lockdown or not, you might, just have a point.
2) You keep talking about herd immunity, again, there's no evidence to support that herd immunity is a way to get out of this. We simply do not know. As a side case, there's currently thirty three identified strains of SARS-COV-2 affecting the human race.
Therefore even if herd immunity were to work you're looking at multiple instances of that being required.