Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
It is typical of you to ask for a source and then debunk it when it is provided on the basis of the news provider or something trivial that you can eke out an argument with. The man is an expert on coronaviruses, having studied this for many years - you know, like you are an expert on economics. 
If the guy is asking for his views to be kept private, I would venture to suggest that he does not want to tread on anyone elses toes here, or maybe he still has research to do.
Nevertheless, the man is kosher and he has a theory. I never claimed that it was fact. Even the government's advisors point out that nothing is certain because not enough is known about this new virus to compare what has happened before.
As for the seasonal issue, it is not as straight forward as you would like to have us believe. It is still early in the season but as more people get out and about and warmth and humidity increase, the likelihood appears to be that it could either retreat or die off altogether. It is known that the virus does not do well in warmer, humid temperatures, so we shall see.
It will be interesting to see whether the virus returns in winter, something that is perhaps more likely if there has been inadequate penetration of the virus amongst the population. This possibility can be minimised by opening the schools sooner rather than later, and allowing shops to re-open. As many people as possible should be allowed back to work also. This may lead to a rise in cases, but this time it should be more manageable. As I have said many times, we will end up with the vast majority of the population being infected in any case, but most will not even know they've had it.
The people we should be trying to protect are the vulnerable, including people in care homes, but it does seem pretty hopeless based on how many have fallen ill to date, despite visitors being kept away. |
We get that you didn't want a lockdown Old Boy but opening up the schools and shops simply means that millions are put at risk, we cripple the NHS and tens of thousands more die, rendering the work done to date pointless.
Coronavirus is spreading in the southern hemisphere where lockdowns are weak or absent, and in countries where the weather temperature is currently comparable or in excess of a summer in the UK.
Have you got a source for the bit in bold - testing for antibodies in the population done to date hasn't indicated that there's a large number of asymptomatic people and there are question marks over their reliability in any case.
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020...-be-unreliable
Even further - there is a bigger question mark over whether any immunity exists at all for those who have had the virus.