In my seven day sabbatical I found some interesting analysis from a Professor at the University of Edinburgh.
https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...nd-coronavirus
Countries that intervened early such as New Zealand, where Jacinda Ardern insisted defeating the virus relied upon 'going hard and going early', could come out of this economically better off whereas the herd immunity/it'll happen anyway countries could find themselves undergoing years of turmoil as they are unable to recover the trace, track, isolate mechanism of breaking transmission chains.
Somewhat ironic really if steps to 'protect' the economy, against internationally recognised protocols on dealing with pandemics, made the situation worse.