Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr K
The facts are at least 980 have died over the last day, in comparison with other countries we aren't doing well.
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They didn't die yesterday - not all of them anyway.
The numbers now include people who died several days earlier but have only just been reported. The Daily Stats are deaths registered and not occurred. This means the deaths for the day before are largely unknown with the majority not in. So we won't know what day was 'the peak' until about a week later.
To see why look at how the stats are reported. Here are today's numbers from NHS England:
https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistic...pril-2020.xlsx
You can see that yesterday 'only' had 115 deaths. So where did the other 802 come from? They've been added to the totals of previous days. The same will happen in the coming days for yesterday's 115 deaths.
This isn't your fault though because it's seems every journalist in the country is running with 'deadliest day yet' headlines. The only ones who are not appear to some of the BBC who (but not always!) use the word 'reported deaths', Sky and the FT. Reporters writing 'xxx died yesterday' is flat out untrue.
Drives me crazy. These organisations need to balance out the profile of their journalists to get a few with a background that isn't an arts degree. It's not a surprise some of the best reporting in this has come from places with decent economics reporting (Not including Preston - he has been rubbish).
The only tier below them are the newspaper columnists who are completely out of their depth with epidemiology, statistics and pandemics (and can't crib something they half-understood from a BBC documentary about global warming) who nevertheless bestow us with what they reckon. There should be more people who know statistics and public health policy and not someone who can bang out a few hundred words on why COVID-19 is the fault of capitalism to a reliable schedule. Morons.