Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre
Pretty sure we won’t know if the current restrictions are having an effect for several weeks. Hence the restrictions will be in place at least until the end of May - I would estimate.
Hopefully if things show an improvement it may just slacken up a little bit come June.
That’s my hope anyway.
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Makes sense.
Lockdown 22nd, asymptomatic carriers could develop symptoms 2 to 14 days after this. Develop symptoms over the course of a week or so, in turn could infect those in same household. Same 2 to 14 days applies.
At some point in May (theoretically) we would only be looking at 3rd/4th people in same households catching it who didn’t get it from the first carrier. Likely small numbers.
But then you look at the video Mick posted earlier...
---------- Post added at 20:05 ---------- Previous post was at 20:03 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
Yes, well another study suggested that the virus had already worked through 50% of the population, so I suppose you can choose which studies to believe.
Incidentally, it is easy to spook the politicians.
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That’s not actually what that study said - you have simply read the FT headline and taken that as gospel. Had you actually read and understood the study it makes presumptions about how infection the virus is, and what that would mean in terms of the total population with it, and when it likely arose in the UK.
It was an entirely hypothetical study, which offered three less rose tinted outcomes than the one you describe. As you say though you choose the studies you want to believe rather than act on the science. I can’t help with that.