[Sephiroth]

Originally Posted by jfman

The thing is in 2013-14 I assume 11,000 people died from flu across the entire winter. With Coronavirus that many have died in Italy in just four weeks.

If we don't get to that stage, and I pray we don't, it'll be because of the success of a significant amount of Government intervention around social distancing, working from home, closing businesses and investment in healthcare. Not because Coronavirus is "just a flu".

11,000 people die of flu when we do nothing, more will likely die in CV related circumstances despite throwing the kitchen sink at it.

The key to what you have said, and I agree, is that CV is more transmissive than ordinary flu. So we could expect a higher number, say double, which would include those who would have died anyway from ordinary flu.