[Mr K]

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-h...bed-rationing/

We are 14 days behind Italy's coronavirus crisis: when will Britons wake up to the sobering reality?
Mathematical modelling shows we are in lockstep with Italy’s terrible trajectory

The official guidance to intensive care doctors detailing the process for deciding who should receive critical care if rationing is required makes for sobering reading.

Agreed with NHS England and the relevant specialist medical societies, it was published on the website of the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) in the early hours of Sunday morning.

It came at the end of a bright spring day in which thousands crowded city parks, farmers markets and seaside promenades despite government pleas for social distancing.

Perhaps we Brits do not grasp the fearful logic of the coronavirus’s exponential growth? Or perhaps we’re just not up for quarantine? Either way this weekend may be looked back on as a reckless nation’s last roll of the dice before the storm hit.

For make no mistake, the mathematical modelling shows we are in lockstep with Italy’s terrible trajectory, lagging just two weeks behind. Inigo Martincorena, group leader at the Sanger Institute in Cambridge, posted an analysis at the weekend which shows Britain’s numbers almost exactly mirror Italy’s in terms of Covid-19 cases and deaths.