14-03-2020, 21:01
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#487
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laeva recumbens anguis
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2006
Age: 68
Services: Premiere Collection
Posts: 43,768
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Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre
I’d love to be a fly on the wall whenever you pay a visit to a doctor or hospital or any expert on anything.
After the doctor has just given you a diagnosis.
“ yes doctor you believe your diagnosis to be sound and I do not”
To Einstein.
“ yes Alfred I know you believe your theory to be sound, and I do not”
To Stephen Hawking.
“Yes Stephen, I know you believe your theory on space time to be sound, and I do not”
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tbf, he’s not the only one disagreeing (and these are real experts, not internet ones).
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-51892402
Quote:
Hundreds of scientists have written to the government urging them to introduce tougher measures to tackle the spread of Covid-19.
In an open letter, a group of 229 scientists from UK universities say the government's current approach will put the NHS under additional stress and "risk many more lives than necessary".
The signatories also criticised comments made by Sir Patrick Vallance, the government's chief scientific adviser, about managing the spread of the infection to make the population immune.
The Department of Health said Sir Patrick's comments had been "misinterpreted".
In their letter the scientists also questioned the government's view that people will become fed up with restrictions if they were imposed too soon.
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Quote:
The UK's approach to coping with the coronavirus pandemic has been in stark contrast to other countries. The whole of Italy has been on lockdown since Tuesday, while Poland is set to close its borders for two weeks.
On Saturday the French government ordered the closure of all non-essential public locations from midnight (23:00 GMT Saturday).
And Spain has declared a 15-day national lockdown on Monday to battle the virus,
In the open letter the group of scientists argue that stronger "social distancing measures" would "dramatically" slow the rate of growth of the disease in the UK, and would spare "thousands of lives".
The group said the current measures are "insufficient" and "additional and more restrictive measures should be taken immediately", as is happening in other countries.
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Quote:
In a separate letter to the government, more than 200 behavioural scientists have questioned the government's argument that starting tougher measures too soon would lead to people not sticking to them just at the point that the epidemic is at its height.
"While we fully support an evidence-based approach to policy that draws on behavioural science, we are not convinced that enough is known about 'behavioural fatigue' or to what extent these insights apply to the current exceptional circumstances," the letter said.
"Such evidence is necessary if we are to base a high-risk public health strategy on it."
"In fact, it seems likely that even those essential behaviour changes that are presently required (e.g., handwashing) will receive far greater uptake the more urgent the situation is perceived to be. Carrying on as normal for as long as possible undercuts that urgency," it added.
The scientists said "radical behaviour change" could have a "much better" effect and could "save very large numbers of lives".
"Experience in China and South Korea is sufficiently encouraging to suggest that this possibility should at least be attempted," it added.
The second letter called on the government to reconsider its stance on "behavioural fatigue" and to share the evidence on which it based this stance.
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