Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
Well the margin of error could make a huge difference if most of these seats are close but I would think they compensate for them because, as you say, they're rarely wrong.
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As Christine Jardine (Lib dem) is currently telling Huw Edwards from Edinburgh, exit polls are great at the overall national picture but prone to miss local situations, especially in very marginal seats. And most of Scotland is marginal right now.
I can live with an SNP total of 55 because with an invigorated Tory party in Westminster and (I reckon) about 30% of the vote in Scotland, there is actually nothing Nippy Sturgeon can do about it if and when Boris refuses her demands for a section 30 order for an official referendum. But as of right now I don’t think the SNP will do quite as well as suggested.