Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
I understand that the Scottish Conservative vote appears to be holding up well, so with luck Nicola Sturgeon will get a black eye come Thursday.
It'll be interesting to see how many former Labour strongholds move to the Conservatives on Thursday. I expect to see a fair few surprises here.
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The most recent poll in Scotland:
Scottish Westminster voting intention:
SNP: 39% (-1)
CON: 29% (+1)
LAB: 21% (+1)
LDEM: 10% (-1)
via Panelbase, 03 - 06 Dec
Chgs. w/ 22 Nov
A month ago, most people expected the SNP to retake almost every seat in Scotland (where they were after 2015), but on these figures nothing much will change at all. They may take one off the Tories and one off Labour. With one final push it is possible the Tories could even increase their vote. I am hearing anecdotally that many SNP candidates aren't even mentioning Scottish independence on their local leaflets, despite Sturgeon trying to turn this election into a referendum on a referendum.
The Tories, however, are being absolutely explicit about it. I have had three Tory leaflets in the last week to 10 days, all of them warning that voters should vote Tory to stop the SNP and so-called "Indyref 2". The one I got this morning has more photos of Nicola Sturgeon on it than of the actual Tory candidate.