Thread: Election 2019 - Week 5
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Old 09-12-2019, 16:46   #68
OLD BOY
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Re: Election 2019 - Week 5
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
Some people will vote for a monkey so long as it's in a red rosette, so the saying goes. As it happens I think a troop of chimpanzees would be less likely to run the country into the ground than Comrade Corbyn.

That said, by this time in 2017 the polls were tightening alarmingly, and that is not happening this time. The closet lefties at the BBC were very quick to declare the Tories' campaign had stalled last weekend when a couple of polls came in suggesting the gap was narrowing, but they have had to row back on that this weekend as polling for the Sunday papers and then again this morning shows the Tories' lead is stubbornly around the 10-point mark. Electoral Calculus reckons this to be worth a 40-plus majority. YouGov will issue its own seat projection later in the week, and then we will have the joys of Prof. Curtice and his massive exit poll on Thursday night.

I absolutely love John Curtice, and not just because Scottish Nationalists hate him (apparently his correct predictions about the outcome of the 2014 referendum were biased in some way, and they've never forgiven him). There are few things more entertaining than watching a Nat blow a gasket. But I digress.
I understand that the Scottish Conservative vote appears to be holding up well, so with luck Nicola Sturgeon will get a black eye come Thursday.

It'll be interesting to see how many former Labour strongholds move to the Conservatives on Thursday. I expect to see a fair few surprises here.
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