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Re: Election 2019 - Week 3
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
Polling averages suggest the Tories have a 12-13 point lead at the moment, and electoral calculus is predicting a 68 seat Tory majority.
The manifestos have all come out in the last week to 10 days, we probably need another week for all those to feed through to the polls. Thereafter it will be the campaign trail that makes the difference. Personally I think the chances of Boris cacking that up anywhere near as badly as Teresa May did are next to zero.
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https://www.itv.com/news/2019-11-22/...-polls-change/
Quote:
At the same point in the 2017 election campaign, the polls showed the Tories on 47%, with Labour on 31%, the Lib Dems on 8%, Ukip on 5% and the Greens on 3%.
But on election day, the Tories finished on 43% – four points below where they had been three weeks earlier – while Labour had risen 10 points to 41%.
While the Lib Dems remained on 8%, both Ukip and the Greens dropped to 2%.
The change was enough to deny the Tories a majority and produce a hung parliament.
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