Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
Polling averages suggest the Tories have a 12-13 point lead at the moment, and electoral calculus is predicting a 68 seat Tory majority.
The manifestos have all come out in the last week to 10 days, we probably need another week for all those to feed through to the polls. Thereafter it will be the campaign trail that makes the difference. Personally I think the chances of Boris cacking that up anywhere near as badly as Teresa May did are next to zero.
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And they were 17 points ahead at this point last time. On election day they were 8 points ahead, but the actual vote ended up being 2. Make of that what you will; if you think people love BJ more than TM, you're mistaken.
Record no. of last minute registrations too, 3 million mainly young voters. Wonder what effect that will have?
Who knows? We'll have to wait and see...
