Thread: Election 2019, Week 1
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Old 11-11-2019, 16:50   #494
OLD BOY
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Re: Election 2019, Week 1
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
This is unlikely. It depends exactly how votes are concentrated but on present polling the prediction is that they keep around 6 or 7 seats of the 13 they held after 2017.

Don’t underestimate the extent to which Scottish electoral politics is beginning to resemble Northern Ireland. The Tories made big gains in Scotland in 2017 while Teresa May was losing everywhere else because the Scottish Tories positioned themselves as the party of the union, against Nippy Sturgeon’s demands for another referendum. The SNP is playing the same fiddle again (for it has no other), and if the Tories can again present themselves as the only effective way of resisting nationalism then they will do well.

Labour has nowhere to go in Scotland because 1. The SNP has stolen its socialist rhetoric and 2. Corbyn sounds like he’s going to facilitate a referendum. It’s hard to see where he’s going to make gains. The central belt tribal vote Scottish Labour used to rely on has largely gone to the Nats.
Agreed. However, I would add that the Conservatives should try to prise the conversation away from a Scottish referendum and on to the domestic agenda, where the SNP has not done too well at all.
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