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Originally Posted by Damien
Interestingly we know the minimum votes this deal has is 306. We also know a handful of those who voted for the Letwin amendment will vote for the deal, they were the ones who genuinely distrusting of Johnson, so an actual deal might be close?
Although I think some within the ERG were planning to vote for the deal then vote against the rest to get No Deal so,..
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Amongst those who voted for the Letwin amendment are MPs who will vote with the Government for Boris's deal. These include the renegade Conservative MPs who have had the whip removed and a handful of Labour MPs, which should just about get the Withdrawal Bill over the line.
I will be very interested to see how Boris will avoid the provisions of the Surrender Bill. That's going to be very interesting, although he actually said that the Benn bill does not require him to 'negotiate' a delay.
So maybe he will present the letter together with additional documentation to indicate the Government's position on the matter and not follow it up. The EU will be aware already that the Government has no intention of nominating a commissioner, which will gum up the works, as well as other plans to disrupt the EU if they choose to grant the extension.
Despite the best efforts of his detractors, I think Boris has won. We leave on 31 October.
You heard it here first. Well, -ish.