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Originally Posted by Damien
I think everyone knows an election is coming soon either way. They just want to make sure Boris Johnson is getting as much bad press as possible, although I don't think they're nearly adept at it as Dominic Cummings is.
I think the election result is really up in the air. In terms of seats it's easier to see where the Tories lose seats (Scotland, Lib/Tory marginals) but it's not clear where they win them. They're betting the house on large swings from Labour Brexiters but if they've miscalculated that then....
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Sensible analysis. The Conservatives have inflicted damage on themselves with the expulsions, they are weakened in the geographies you have described with Scotland being self-inflicted and Corbyn has played the whole Brexit shall I/shan't I game effectively.