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Re: Brexit
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mick
Bring on another Referendum - Brexit Party trounced all the other parties no problem, including Lib Dems who ran on a stop Brexit campaign. They were just short of 2 million votes from Brexit Party.
Peston tweeted a graph before that if the European Election results were repeated at a General Election, Brexit Party would have a Majority government, they would have 414 Seats in Parliament. Bring on GE or bring on Second Referendum, we'll teach these ignorant Remainers that refuse to accept the result that the UK wants to leave and we have not changed our minds and never will!
Becareful what you wish for haha!!! 
https://twitter.com/itvpeston/status...64912713867265 |
Here is the source of the data Robert Peston quoted from.
https://mobile.twitter.com/chrishanr...76766903672832
The author actually states
Quote:
Chris Hanretty @chrishanretty
But people vote differently in different elections. This is a second order election with a different electorate, different voting system, on different issues, with different parties. I would be surprised if the Brexit Party got four seats in #GE20XX, let alone four hundred
7:01 am · 30 May 2019 · Twitter for Android
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From the author’s blog
Quote:
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These figures on their own tell us almost nothing about future general elections. I estimate that the Brexit party won the most votes in over four hundred Westminster constituencies. The Brexit Party will not win four hundred seats in a future general election. European Parliament elections are different from Westminster elections in many ways. The electorate is different, the voting system is different, the parties competing are different, the issues discussed (if any) are different, and the levels of campaign activity and interest are different. If European Parliament elections results were a good guide to subsequent general elections, UKIP would have won scores of seats in 2015 rather than just one.
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