Quote:
Originally Posted by jfman
Are they? You can’t quantify that claim as true. There’s no rational reason why a leave voter would stay with Conservatives/Labour in an election to offices they dint want to exist anyway.
Or else what? In a FPTP general election the Brexit party falls like a stone much like UKIP previously. A general election matters - we could get Corbyn after all, a European one doesn’t.
There’s nothing amazing about this poll. It’s entirely predictable. The question is whether someone else can become an effective vehicle for remain/2nd ref and get the rest of the Con/Lab votes. A brand new party, led by Farage, isn’t really new at all.
|
You know very well that Labour and Conservative diehards will never vote for any other party. Do you seriously believe that ALL such voters voted for UKIP last time? Of course they didn't. It'll be the same this time, except that more of these voters will want to demonstrate that they've had enough, and will vote Brexit out of sheer frustration. That does NOT mean that there are no leavers voting Conservative or Labour, though.
The remainder of your post I did find amusing, and entirely predictable! UKIP never got such a good poll as this one.