Quote:
Originally Posted by pip08456
How anyone can believe a poll of (on average) 2000 people reflects the entire nation is beyond me.
As Mick says, the only poll that matters is the one with the cross in the box.
|
Arguably the only one that matters is the next Brexit referendum.
Nobody is saying opinion polling is perfect or has 100% accuracy to a population of 66 million people - it has a statistical margin of error - for 2000 people this is plus or minus 2 per cent
In the case of polling on a binary choice the obvious difference is the use of a “don’t know” option that isn’t on the ballot on the day.
In the case of a General Election the polls taken now could vary from an election because the campaign itself brings in greater rules on neutrality in broadcast media coverage and unforeseen topics/issues can change voting intention in a seven week campaign.