Thread: Brexit
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Old 22-03-2019, 13:24   #384
Damien
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Re: Brexit (New).

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
I think she’s starting to wonder whether it’s the only way out of the Groundhog Day scenario she’s created, and it would certainly explain why the EU rowed back from its first draft agreement which stated 22 May as a conditional deadline and offered no unconditional deadline at all. In that scenario there was a clear incentive for the DUP and the ERG to keep holding out.

In the present scenario, there is still some incentive for her to try to win round enough of the MPs who are wavering in the middle, though that’s still a tall order. From the EU’s point of view they can simply say that with the small unconditional delay they did nothing to heighten the risk of No Deal.
We seem to be back to last week/earlier this week (who can keep track) where a long extension is still on the table and if the ERG will bank what they have or a confident enough that No Deal will emerge from Parliamentary chaos in the days to come.

As for May I am not entirely sure she has much of a plan or logic left. It seems like she is surviving day to day and is almost stuck in a loop with this deal because it's all she has and all she can personally entertain. Even pulling the vote and preparing for No Deal she can't do hence the suggestion she might want the EU to do it for her.It's also possible she still thinks all the domestic things she wanted to do she'll still be able to do and it's not sinking in that her Premiership is likely over soon. Just at a human level the last two years have been brutal for her.
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