Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre
Another referendum will decide nothing.
Unless it is something like 70/30 for Remain ( and that depends on what the question is)
If there is no mandate to leave with a 52/48, then there is no mandate to stay if it is 52/48 the other way or something in that area.
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Yup. I think this is a massive problem. If Remain were to win the problem would be compounded even. I don't know how we solve this divide.
Quote:
The three points that remain think another referendum will deliver a win are:
1. Many of the old arse leavers are dead now
2. Those thickos that didn’t know what Leave meant are now educated and will reverse their vote
3. None that voted remain initially will change their vote.
This has to be offset against.
1. Not all new voters are remainers
2. Just how many have died in the last 2.5 years?
3. Those that voted remain first but would vote leave now (and i put myself in that camp)
Face those two off together and will that give them a decisive majority - i think not and the circus continues.
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I think the new voters would end up edging for Remain. Not all new voters are Remainers but the majority are. It's only '3' and a rebellion against being asked again that would be in Leave's reasons to be optimistic. Either way it would be close again.
No one thinks about the long-term consequences of 'winning'. Winning a narrow Remain vote will cause unrest and deep resentment. The people celebrating a no deal Brexit, even gloating at young people's concerns, are also not thinking of what the country could look like a few years down the road.