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Originally Posted by jfman
Missing from your analysis is the possibility of an extension, which doesn’t require approval of Parliament and buys the time for the rest.
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Indeed but the extension is with the gift of the EU, and therefore out of our hands.
As the EU have stated that as far as they are concerned this deal is the only deal.
They could, and probably will, let the pressure build right up until March.
If we get to March and the U.K. parliament have not agreed to the deal, there would need to be compelling reason for the EU to grant an extension.
To grant an extension would have to be on he proviso that a re-negotiation or amendment of the deal was possible, otherwise why bother?
This then weakens the EU position, possibly for the first time.
Still looking forward to seeing it play out.
---------- Post added at 19:35 ---------- Previous post was at 19:29 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
As mentioned before though if Parliament wants to do so it can rush a bill though.
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Only if a majority agrees?
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I think the final option is May's deal comes back as is or ever-so-slightly changed. Ahead of that you'll have Parliament pushing first for an election which, with the backing the DUP, might be possible. Alternatively you could have Parliament pushing for another vote, again who knows how that would go. That probably would require the EU allowing us to delay Article 50 and a quick bill to update the existing Parliamentary law to delay it should the EU have agreed. You also have the 'Norway for Now' option some Conservatives are pushing.
I think they will come to May's deal eventually unless the Tories backing 'Norway for Now' get some tractions....
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I honestly think, if the May deal is voted down, the only viable way this thing continues is a second referendum.
I think, as per my previous post, the only reason the EU would extend A50, if is there was another referendum, which in all likelihood, remain would wn.
It removes lots on issues, like Parliament having to revoke A50 without a mandate.
That is the most probable outcome, in my humble opinion.