[jfman]

Originally Posted by Pierre

I’m looking forward to seeing the deal voted down in Parliament.

As that is what will happen.

After that we’re in uncharted territory, nobody can say what will happen with any certainty.

All we know is, as things stand, is that there will be vote ( which is looking like the Gov will lose). Then in March 2019 we will leave the EU.

So we have a four month window where absolutely anything , or nothing, could happen.

Four months, including Christmas week, is not a lot of time to do anything.

A bill usually takes several months, up to a year, to be enacted.

I cannot see, in any scenario, where parliament would vote to repeal A50 without a referendum.

Therefore a whole new plan, and potentially a new law not even proposed yet would have to get agreement and go through the process in less than four months.

I don’t see it, happening.

Yet, everyone says parliament won’t allow no deal.

That is a paradox I can’t wait to see play out.

Missing from your analysis is the possibility of an extension, which doesn’t require approval of Parliament and buys the time for the rest.