Thread: Brexit (Old)
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Old 30-11-2018, 13:28   #3980
OLD BOY
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Re: Brexit
Quote:
Originally Posted by jonbxx View Post
So I guess you are happy with how the government has performed since 2016 in this respect?

When almost all of the forecasts indicate a downturn in performance of the UK economy even with trade deals. For example, the recent government study takes in to account that we will have comprehensive trade deals according to government policy with United States, Australia, New Zealand, Malaysia, Brunei, China, India, Mercosur (Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay) and the Gulf-Cooperation Council (UAE, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain)

The question is, if almost all forecasts indicate a downturn in the economy then we need to talk about how much rather than whether it will happen. See climate change studies as a similar example.. If the methodology is flawed, then where are the 'correcting' studies by other groups or is the entire science of economics flawed?

I hope you are right and the negative impacts are low but we need to be ready in case this is not the case. Personally, in my situation, we can absorb a fair level of financial shock (Brexit proofing our mortgage with a really long term fixed rate for example) and most of my work comes from the EU rather than the UK. I am worried this will not be the case for everyone though.
Well, given that TM has achieved a withdrawal agreement that none of our remainer friends ever thought possible, yes I am pleased with the government's performance on this issue.

It is now clear how far the EU is prepared to go in giving us a deal, and now we have to decide on whether to go with that or go without a deal, which I think is what most Brexiteers thought would be the choice all along.

We have said enough about those economic forecasts. Take them with a pinch of salt.

---------- Post added at 12:28 ---------- Previous post was at 12:27 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by jfman View Post
The EU have no need to be involved if we remain (subject to the ECJ advice to the Court of Session). Brexit being framed as an inevitability ignores what Ministers have said, including the PM, about the possibility of no Brexit at all.
Except that we are not remaining.
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