Thread: Brexit (Old)
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Old 26-11-2018, 18:26   #3806
OLD BOY
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Re: Brexit
Quote:
Originally Posted by 1andrew1 View Post
The reports will take into account the small upside. But as we know, it's dwarfed the far larger and perrmanent downside unfortunately.
How do you come to the conclusion that it is a 'small' upside? And if TM's deal got through, which would preserve our trade with the EU, could you tell me what this huge downside is?

In truth, nobody can forecast the extent of the advantage we will have over now because this depends on how our entrepreneurs take advantage of it. How do you predict that?

---------- Post added at 18:18 ---------- Previous post was at 18:16 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr K View Post
LOL, she refused to debate with him at the General Election , why should he help her out now ! Methinks the lady is desperate !

Farage and May would be more interesting....
She sees an opportunity, obviously! Corbyn doesn't understand Brexit and doesn't know where he stands on it. A debate on this subject will demonstrate to the electorate who would make a better leader.

---------- Post added at 18:26 ---------- Previous post was at 18:18 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by jonbxx View Post
Page 23 of that study is our friend here with a pickup of 12% in trade from the anglosphere (USA, Canada, Australia and New Zealand) and 19% growth from the BRIICs (Brazil, Russia, Indonesia, India, China and South Africa) if there are trade deals. The proposed FTAs used in the study are 'average' based on previous agreements.

Here's a blog post on the effects of FTAs post Brexit - https://www.niesr.ac.uk/blog/will-ne...ow-hard-brexit

As always, the error bars tend to be quite large and use a number of assumptions and this paper is clear in taking one factor (brexit) in to account.
They are figures which have been assumed and may as well have been plucked out of the air. Never take such forecasts as gospel, they always turn out to be very wrong in my experience.
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