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					Originally Posted by  1andrew1
					 
				 
				 
The consensus of forecasts from forecasters who have got things right time after time is that the UK will be worse off outside the EU, in all scenarios. 
  
			
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Forecasts of the Brexit vote were spot on . . .  oh hang on  
 Our estimated probability of a Leave win is 13% and so Remain have an 87% chance of winning.
taken from here (March 2016)  
https://electionsetc.com/2016/03/14/...it-referendum/