Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
Yes, I agree that we have to cost the different scenarios, but these costs are based on assumptions that we will not find a way around the problems. They are based on worst case scenarios, but people seem to take these figures as indisputable facts as to how much a proposal will cost.
Where Brexit is concerned, all these people can focus on are costs when Brexit protagonists are convinced that there will be economic gains. A more balanced approach indicating the net financial implications, based on a reasonable interpretation of what is likely to happen, would be a better approach to take, because that would tell the real story.
Most forecasts I have seen concentrate on worst case scenarios which assume failed negotiations and no benefits of Brexit.
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Do not take at face value what the Express and Sun tell you to think, Old Boy, reassuring as it is. Have you forgotten the Government's own predictions that show a reduction in GDP? They looked at all scenarios, not just a hard Brexit. Or pretty much all the other models except Patrick Minford's show similar results and his has been discredited. Look around you, the knowledge is there for anyone to read providing they take an open view and don't state everything they find uncomfortable is fake news.
We're already seeing a limp economy (worst for five years) which the ONS does not attribute to the weather.
https://news.sky.com/story/uk-econom...arter-11384775