Re: Brexit discussion
There's a hell of a lot going on behind the scenes and neither side is very happy at the minute our biggest leverage will be discussed soon and the hardline approach the EU has taken so far will have to soften considerably unless they are willing to be in a very poor position on security and intelligence cooperation. As I've said before there is growing opposition to the approach the EU has adopted so far within the european parliament with the opinion that on the EU end it's more about punishing the UK for leaving then an open constructive process designed to get both sides an acceptable deal.
Right now i think both sides are playing games and both sides also have a deal prepared that's acceptable to both but it's like a game of chicken at the minute first one to blink gains an advantage. Germany is the most concerned right now as they will take an economical hit from brexit, Trump is getting very fed up with Germany not honouring it's NATO commitment and the German public do not want to see Germany filling most of the EU budgetary void left by the UK's leaving it's not working well on the continent and Macron has yet to release the report for the French government on the cost of Brexit to France which it's suspected show's an economical hit for France as well.
This was never one side holding all the cards as many remain and brexit supporters represented it as being and was always going to be a difficult deal to agree but it's becoming clearer that a deal has to be reached or both sides will be loser's and face difficult times. The only advantage is that once out we will not have the southern european countries with severe financial issues to deal with and if the big two in the EU do take an economical hit that situation becomes a little more precarious for the EU. I don't want to see that i want adults to start handling these negotiations so that both sides come out of it with the minimum of damage and the prospect for both constructive relations and reciprocal trade in the future.
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