Quote:
Originally Posted by Mick
Cannot really measure things like swings etc accurately in one Congressional race, and as it stands, 5 out of 6 congressional elections have gone to Republicans, either way, turn out is not as good as Country wide presidential elections. People just don’t go out and vote like they do in big elections.
|
These are also measure against the last congressional races. There have been significant swings to the Democratic candidate even in the ones that ultimately went to the Republicans. It's not a good sign to have a 17-point swing even if you manage to hold onto the seat because in many districts you wouldn't have such a huge margin to lose.
Quote:
|
I read also some Republicans voters were turned away from voting, because the district lines on the map were changed in the recent boundary changes, which Republicans I believe have approached the Supreme Court to look at.
|
Bit rich. The district is heavily drawn for Republicans: (it's in the bottom left-hand corner)
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com.../pennsylvania/