Thread: Brexit discussion
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Old 05-02-2018, 13:18   #1931
OLD BOY
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Re: Brexit discussion
Quote:
Originally Posted by 1andrew1 View Post
No one is saying that the country can't stand on its own feet. It's worth noting that the World has changed technologically, economically and politically since we joined the EU. Countries like China and South Korea now command massive economic strength and the best trade negotiations occur when you have most to offer ie a market of 500m not 65m.
The issue is that the UK will enjoy less influence in Europe (eg Europol which we heavily steer) and the economy will grow less strongly than if we had remained in the EU. Until a form of transport exists that can transport people and goods as rapidly and cheaply between the UK and Europe as between the UK and the rest of the world, trade deals with neighbouring countries will always outweigh those with more distant countries.
If you read the Government's analysis, you would realise that trade with the rest of the world would add less than 1% in GDP whilst leaving the EU would result in a 2%-8% reduction in GDP. That analysis makes uncomfortable reading for some and I appreciate you may wish to turn a blind eye to it.
Damn! That must mean the New Zealand lamb I had yesterday was off!

Honestly, Andrew! The EU is not the only place we will be getting our goods from post Brexit.

I think you place too much reliance on forecasts when forming your opinions and making your comments, most of which have proved wrong in recent times. They tend to concentrate on negatives without adequate consideration of the potential benefits.
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