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Originally Posted by Mick
You cannot be seriously expecting me to believe something written from people paid from the very people we are trying to leave, surely?
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It does beg the question why there haven't been full studies or peer reviewed papers having a pro-Brexit standpoint. I would have thought the combined cash of Tim Martin (worth around £200m) Lord Bamford (£3.1b!) and Jacob Rees-Mogg (£45m) would have paid nicely for a robust pro-Brexit paper somewhere
(I stand to be corrected if there's anything more substantial than a press release out there)
In the meantime, I will repost this link -
https://benefitcostanalysis.org/site...1%20Brexit.pdf which shows the breadth of different sources all telling a similar story. Economics is in inexact science and I don't think anyone would disagree but if almost all reports lean in the same direction, it does seem like there's a trend towards a prediction of a negative impact.
Here's a summary on slide 10;
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Most studies conclude that best scenarii would lead the UK economy to suffer very lightly (around 1% GDP) or even experience net gains (see Booth et al. 2015) while the worst-case scenario envisage ‘only’ a 8% loss of GDP (see HM Treasury 2016).
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After that, we're just arguing about how big really.