Damien

The difference in the polls seem to be down to young voters. Some pollsters such as YouGov, and I am guessing Survation, think they will come out in higher numbers this time based on what they've been told from those young people and also voter registration numbers. Other pollsters think their turnout will be largely the same as it has been.

I think the latter is certainly the case and I also think there will be a swing to the government over the next week. I would put money on a 80+ seat majority for the Conservatives based on the fact that I can't understand this actually happening.

Vote share is one thing but what seats will actually change hands for this to happen?

We can see a path to how Corbyn would do it though and that is via a unprecedented surge of young people going to the polls. In some ways it would be an epic blowback from the decisions the Tories made to disproportionately burden them with austerity but then everytime we expect this surge of young people voting it never happens.