Re: Brexit: Article 50 Has Been Triggered !
I'll play...
What kind of deal do we want?
A true free trade agreement - no tariffs or customs declarations needed. Rights of EU citizens in the UK maintained with reciprocal rights for UK citizens abroad. Continued membership of organisations such as European Medicines Agency, European Air Safety Agency, etc.
What kind of deal are we likely to get?
Financial passporting is a red line. I wouldn't be surprised to see tariffs on cars if we subsidise Nissan, etc. to soften the Brexit blow
Current reactions to the Prime Minister invoking Article 50 from the other EU Member States?
I spoke to my German boss and Belgian colleague yesterday. They don't understand why we would do this
Realistic time table, will this be completed before March 30th 2019?
Not a snowballs chance, there will be an interim agreement at best
What key areas should the UK be try to negotiate on and which ones should they avoid?
Financial passporting and citizens rights are critical. If we want to avoid the wrath of Murdoch, Dacre and Desmond, best avoid mentioning anything we would pay for
Business announcements: I.E Will this encourage or drive business away?
It depends on the trade agreement. If we can be like Switzerland or Norway and it's easy to trade with the rest of the EU, then not too big a problem. If there are tariffs, customs checkpoints, etc., this will be a big problem for manufacturing
What should the settlement divorce fee be and should we pay some of it, all of it, or none at all?
We agreed to fund some initiatives, we should pay what we said we would. I would suggest taking a pragmatic approach and offset what we owe against membership of the European organisations like EMA, EASA, etc.
Just my two cents...
|