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Old 20-10-2016, 22:19   #467
Damien
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Re: US Election 2016

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre View Post
I, more like when, she wins. The GOP need to get their act together. Because she is a single term President at best.

I would bet the farm on a Republican president in 2020.
Assuming she does win then only if they do get they act together. Trump's support base isn't going away and the Republicans need to figure out a way to address it without alienating women and minorities. How do they plan to handle the next set of primaries? There is a risk that what happens to them is the same as what has happened to Labour. A base completely at odds with the wider public and so a weaker candidate.

I agree that a Paul Ryan or Bloomberg would be odds-on favourite in 2020 but I can also see a situation where a Trump-like figure emerges again. Especially if the man himself does start an alt-right media network that speaks to them.

I guess anyone would still win if they ran a more careful campaign and didn't resort to the bizarre antics of Trump but only if the economy is underperforming. If the economy is doing well in 2020 and she avoids real scandal then the Republicans will need someone good. To reiterate though they really can't afford not to be picking up higher proportions of women and minority voters. Even if Trump wins they need to address that, America is only becoming more diverse.
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