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Re: US Election 2016
Trump's path to success has always seem to have been to significantly outperform Romney amongst white men without a college degree. He was doing that but the problem is that he is underperforming Romney elsewhere. White men with a college degree are usually Republican but it's a lot closer this time. Minorities he is doing worst amongst, so much so in fact that some of the Southern states might be in play.
If he loses though it's the women who'll cost him. Last time they were 52% of the vote and he is falling amongst that demographic like a lead brick.
As Pierre mentioned previously if Clinton does win both parties need to look at where Trump support comes from and look at their concerns.
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