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RichardCoulter · 24-06-2016, 02:31

As I predicted, it seems that whatever is decided will be close (according to BBC forecasts).

If people have voted to remain, no matter how small the margin, that will be the end of the matter as it will be a case of "The people have spoken".

If people have voted to leave, I think that Cameron will invite the leaders of the main opposition parties for talks upon the best way to deal with the situation.

Their 'united' response could be to say that the margin was so close that it would not be worth the risk of leaving, so they will "put the country first".

Alternatively, the PM may go back to the EU and say that the public need more concessions to convince them to vote the 'correct' way. After these concessions have been agreed, the PM could either hold another referendum or say that as it was such a close vote that the concessions will be deemed to be enough to satisfy the majority of people.

To summarise, I think that a remain victory will be accepted as evidence that the public wish to remain.

A leave victory will be treated as 'work in progress' until they can either spin the leave decision to mean exactly the opposite or tinker with the rules (immigration, benefits etc) until the public finally accept that remaining is for the best.

I believe that Cameron only scraped into power by promising this referendum, but it will probably be his downfall one way or another- but I very much doubt that we will be leaving the EU, regardless of the result of the referendum.

24-06-2016, 02:31	#3590
RichardCoulter cf.mega poster Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 10,719	re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU As I predicted, it seems that whatever is decided will be close (according to BBC forecasts). If people have voted to remain, no matter how small the margin, that will be the end of the matter as it will be a case of "The people have spoken". If people have voted to leave, I think that Cameron will invite the leaders of the main opposition parties for talks upon the best way to deal with the situation. Their 'united' response could be to say that the margin was so close that it would not be worth the risk of leaving, so they will "put the country first". Alternatively, the PM may go back to the EU and say that the public need more concessions to convince them to vote the 'correct' way. After these concessions have been agreed, the PM could either hold another referendum or say that as it was such a close vote that the concessions will be deemed to be enough to satisfy the majority of people. To summarise, I think that a remain victory will be accepted as evidence that the public wish to remain. A leave victory will be treated as 'work in progress' until they can either spin the leave decision to mean exactly the opposite or tinker with the rules (immigration, benefits etc) until the public finally accept that remaining is for the best. I believe that Cameron only scraped into power by promising this referendum, but it will probably be his downfall one way or another- but I very much doubt that we will be leaving the EU, regardless of the result of the referendum.