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Old 20-06-2016, 14:37   #3279
Damien
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU

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Originally Posted by Ignitionnet View Post
If last week ends up being the turning point perhaps best we do remain in the EU. If the public opinion is swung by one event, however tragic, we clearly aren't grown up enough to govern ourselves, and once Generation Snowflake get their hands on the wheels of power we'll probably end up diving head long into further integration anyway, because feels.
If we Remain it's going to be hard to know if it's 'that one event' that swung it. The polls published over the weekend had most of their fieldwork done before the murder or on the day of it. YouGov have said they detected the momentum stalling before then. It could be Osborne's budget threat/warning, a drift to the status-quo as people expected to happen or the combination of things.

https://twitter.com/ShippersUnbound/...82968659791872

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Sunday Times YouGov poll 44-43 lead for Remain. YouGov say it has been moving remain's way in unpublished polls long before Jo Cox killed
https://twitter.com/ShippersUnbound/...83396566843392

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Key finding of ST/YouGov poll: 33% now think Brexit will hurt their finances. Up from 23% two weeks ago
https://twitter.com/ShippersUnbound/...83772837834752

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ST/YouGov of undecided voters twice as many likely to go for Remain as Leave
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