Quote:
Originally Posted by martyh
That's because the poll isn't really a poll of "leave" or "stay" questions
as far as i can find out this is the poll referred to in the Express,it is asking people what they would prefer to be a member of should we leave the EU and was conducted back in March ,.It would appear that the Express have read into the poll something that isn't really there
http://ourinsight.opinium.co.uk/site...p_-_tables.pdf
The only other Opinium poll conducted this weekend was published in the Observer today and has completely different results ,probably more realistic
http://ourinsight.opinium.co.uk/site...i_07_06_16.pdf
---------- Post added at 18:05 ---------- Previous post was at 18:00 ----------
I wouldn't take much notice of that poll ,it's not really an up to date poll and doesn't ask the question of how people will vote on the day |
Thanks - that's as I suspected.
The only opinion polls worth giving any attention to are ones that use the actual referendum question and, IMO, weight only loosely for likelihood to vote. Polls that weight heavily towards those certain to vote will inflate the Leave vote. The last thing we need is Leave looking like they're going to walk it.