Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr K
What's the point of polls? To try and predict the final result. Even the professional polling companies are showing very different results depending on whether the poll is online or done by telephone. (Online favours Brexit, Phone polls tend to favour remain).
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/9687 |
Online results are usually obtained by inviting people to participate in their own time and don't involve interacting with another person.
Telephone polls are usually done by cold calling people at random, so there may be a factor of annoyance, just wanting to get rid of them or embarrassment about giving the true answer.
It's for these reasons I believe the online poll to be more accurate ie a vote to leave.
However, the result predicted by the bookies involves them making or paying out hard cash and they are predicting a 71% share to remain.
You are right in that the various polls are giving contradictory results, I think that this goes to show that a lot of voters are confused or uncertain at this stage.