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**Chris** · 11-06-2016, 16:35

Beware of unweighted samples (which is what the Internet is). You just can't take any straw poll as an indicator of the actual outcome.

We had Yessers here in Scotland in 2014 who were absolutely convinced they were on for a 75-25 victory based on their own doorstep canvassing, and to this day some of them are convinced the actual outcome was rigged because it differed so widely from their own sample. They were blinded to their own shortcomings.

Don't be blind - this one is genuinely impossible to call. There's no precedent. Just get out and vote on the day and make sure your friends do too (and be sure to tell them why you're voting leave).

11-06-2016, 16:35	#2869
Chris Trollsplatter Join Date: Jun 2003 Location: North of Watford Services: Humane elimination of all common Internet pests Posts: 38,230	re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU Beware of unweighted samples (which is what the Internet is). You just can't take any straw poll as an indicator of the actual outcome. We had Yessers here in Scotland in 2014 who were absolutely convinced they were on for a 75-25 victory based on their own doorstep canvassing, and to this day some of them are convinced the actual outcome was rigged because it differed so widely from their own sample. They were blinded to their own shortcomings. Don't be blind - this one is genuinely impossible to call. There's no precedent. Just get out and vote on the day and make sure your friends do too (and be sure to tell them why you're voting leave).