Quote:
Originally Posted by denphone
Personally l would be very wary of the polls given the volatility of the electorate in these past few years.
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Theoretically this should be easier to poll because it's a binary choice and not subject to tactical voting or constituency implications. The polling in the Scottish referendum was very good for the most part as was the AV referendum.
What would be different is if they've failed to pick up overwhelming support for Leave among working class voters in the North somehow. This is a demographic that doesn't have a huge turnout so it may be they've been overlooked in polling.