Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
Corbyn is in complete denial over Scotland. Without the 40+ Scottish seats Labour has taken for granted for the last century there is no way they can form a working majority, and there are plenty of people in England who won't vote Labour if they believe the outcome will be a Labour government propped up by the SNP.
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Taking into account the seats alone Labour has won successive majorities which would have remained safe even without Scotland although I agree that with the 'SNP-Labour' attack line and with upcoming boundary changes it will be harder.
I think there is a lot of complacency about Corbyn though. He is a poor politician and I don't like this ideas especially foreign policy. However he isn't far off from becoming PM, or at least one of his allies. It's not too hard to see him winning an election. Imagine a recession after years of 'austerity', an electorate told they have to cut to save the economy only for the economy to tank, a Tory party infighting over the EU and the general anti-establishment and anti-incumbent feeling we see across the Western world at the moment. All of that is a dangerous mix. Corbyn has a SWP-influenced foreign policy that blames the West for everything but foreign policy doesn't swing elections. What Corbyn does have is a perception that his is honest and not part of the establishment. That is a good place from which to benefit from a rebellion against the elites, he is also the only choice for those that'll want the Tories out no matter what.
I think the Tories are wrong by taking their focus off the opposition onto each other.