re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
The polls may well be deceptive. As polling day gets close the undecideds and wobbly Brexiters will will go for the risk adverse (remain) option. This is what happened in the Scots Referendum and General elections, where the no change option seemed 'safe'. Although they may whinge, Brits are a bit wet when it comes to change and risk. The bookies are never far wrong on these things, I go by them rather than pollsters. Currently remain is 1/3 on and Brexit 5/2.
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