[OLD BOY]

Originally Posted by harry_hitch

Ha, it was my mistake?!? Behave. You have spent the best part of 60 pages defending your "original" post. At no stage have you corrected anyone when we have challenged your assumptions until a few pages ago. I would have thought you would been clearer with your thoughts a long time ago, if you were only thinking of broadcast channels dying. Equally, your argument has changed with alarming frequency since your first post, so your first post has been irrelevant for a very long time.

In response to your first post, you will never get a live show "on demand". If it is live, it is linear, and linear TV will still thrive, linear TV channels will still thrive, bundled tv subscriptions with box sets of on demand content will be very popular, Netflix etc will continue to do well.

Moving on to your drastically changed point, if the bulk viewing of linear TV viewing moves to online streaming (which it may well do) and it is cheaper for businesses to run, then, as you have said, linear TV channels will still be operating. If linear TV channels are still operating, and Sky etc are not dead (which you have said they won't be - I fully agree that they will), they will be able to extend there advertizing online, be able to run cheaper linear TV channels on line and offer a lower price point for customers on can't afford Sky currently, but want more than now tv can offer. As such, they can get more money from on line subscribers, and also advertizers. When this happens, people will still be watching conventional broadcast channels, and will be able to continue to do so, because the extra revenue gained from online profits, will be able to offset some of the potential losses from conventional tv channels. Even you wish to disregard the thought of online subsidizing conventional, if the bulk of viewing linear tv moves online, the viewership will still be the same, and as a result, the ad revenues wont change, thus no need for the channels to die.

Which ever way you wish to skin this particular cat, conventional broadcast will still be around in 20 years. More importantly, your many, many assumptions, which have mutated drastically, are still deeply flawed.

With the regards the cost of Netflix, some weeks ago you said the cheapest Netflix subscription, without the decent content, will be £11. Are you now saying the cheapest price it will be in 20 years is still going to be £7.50?

You clearly don't have a clue on how to answer the question of price so I will let it go.

---------- Post added at 17:45 ---------- Previous post was at 17:24 ----------



Thanks Hugh, still vast amounts of work VOD before overtakes linear - not that it ever will or has the intention to do so.

As the article say, it is surprising, given the relative affordability and the recent attention cord cutting has had, and the availability of now tv, the number of ways it can be watched, it still is not having much of an effect on conventional viewing.

Harry, black is not white, and I clearly stated 'linear channels' in my original post. Clue: Look closely and digest the second word.

How can it possibly be the case that linear viewing will cease when this is how we watch the news and football, for example? Of course I didn't mean what you are implying. I think, Harry, you are just being argumentative, naughty boy!

Maybe some day you will tell me which of my arguments have changed so much over the course of this thread as I think this must be a figment of your imagination. If you list them, I can put the record straight for you.

In my last post, I was referring to the new price of Netflix that has been announced, not my forecast price, but then you know that. No doubt you have worked out that £11 per month is also cheaper than the licence fee, so I am not sure what point you were trying to make.

Also in your response to Hugh, there is agreement between us that conventional viewing is still going strong. However, this is now. The scenario we are looking at is what will happen in the future.

As to what the price of Netflix will be in 20 years, how the hell would I know? Do you have the projected inflation figures for 20 years into the future?

Didn't think so...