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Originally Posted by martyh
I would suggest that all the economists and organisations you speak of try to see things from the point of view of the ordinary bloke in the street, who ,for the past 5 yrs or so have been bombarded by news items that we are giving billions to such and such bank because the EU says we must or billions in aid to other countries because the EU says we must ,or allowing thousands upon thousands of migrants into the country because the EU says we must and meanwhile the ordinary bloke in the street can't get a appointment at his doctors for a week or his dole has been cut because of cut backs so we can give the billions to a foreign bank .
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Most of our contributions to foreign banks have been via the IMF rather than the EU. Papers would say 'EU' because they're EU banks but the money is largely via the IMF. I think there are two exceptions which was Ireland, of our own accord because the banks are so linked, and a story a while back about the European Stability Mechanism being used for Greece but a quick Google couldn't confirm if that ever did actually happen.
Foreign aid is also largely our own policy.
Immigration is the main one and is Leave's best asset. Not the economy.
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The hardest task for the leave campaign is not convincing the ordinary bloke in the street that trade deals won't suffer or financial chaos won't ensue if we leave, it will be convincing them to vote because if they do that then it will be a landslide victory for the leave campaign
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I don't think Leave have a turnout problem. I really think the economy is their biggest weakness but if they do have the economy, immigration and the rest in their favour they we're right, it's a landslide victory they'll win.