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Old 04-04-2016, 13:52   #1232
Damien
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
I don't agree - not to the same extent in any case.

There is no widely understood picture of exactly what the EU does for us, what the benefits are. There is only a vague sense of interfering Eurocrats.

I would argue that there is far less sense of unknown for the UK outside the EU than there was for Scotland outside the UK.
I agree that the sense of known was greater for the Scottish Referendum. I also think there are less tangible things for the Remain to point at.

I would say though that, so far, the Brexit campaign haven't managed to generate anywhere near the passion and excitement the Yes campaign had. Presumably the idea of a sovereign Scottish nation was a lot more powerful than that of a UK free of European influence. The Yes campaign managed to create a vision where supporters that saw an Independent Scotland as whatever they wanted it to be whereas Brexit has a vision of the UK being largely the same but without interfering Eurocrats.

Maybe that means the vote will come down to a cost vs benefit judgement rather than anything else. So the In campaign will hammer, relentlessly, the risk factor because I don't believe people are annoyed enough at Europe to leave if they perceive that to be economically risky. The Leave campaign will attempt to convince people otherwise because all things being equal people would probably vote to leave.
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