Thread: VOD The future for linear TV channels
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Old 01-04-2016, 19:26   #792
OLD BOY
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Re: The future for linear TV channels
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh View Post
Could I point out that to try and forecast technology directions, and consumer adoption/reaction for 20 years in the future is problematic.

20 years ago, the height of hand-held technology was a Nokia 6310, and mobile technology meant a 7lb laptop with a 13" screen, and UK satellite and cable TV was in it's infancy - no one could have forecast that we would have a handheld device that was a phone, a camera, a cine camera, a voice recorder, GPS, radio, TV, film viewer, games console, messaging system, video conferencing, etc etc., all in one handheld device.

You, or I, have no idea of the technology utilisation in 20 years time.
I don't disagree, which is why I find it hard to understand why some cannot contemplate any change at all.

I am putting forward a 'what if...' scenario, and so far no-one has been able to put forward a solution as to how linear broadcast channels can continue to survive in this hostile environment. A lot of barriers have been put in the way, as well as personal preferences that some imagine will make a difference, but no answers to the central question as to what the conventional broadcasters may do to stave off the continuing drift towards streaming.

---------- Post added at 19:26 ---------- Previous post was at 19:19 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
And, as has also been repeatedly pointed out to you over the last 12 months, the way in which it is delivered is not relevant. Sometimes I watch BBC1 in the kitchen via a tablet. Just because the channel is being delivered over IP doesn't mean it isn't linear broadcast TV.

Or are you subtly shifting your position in the face of evidence after all?

(No, by the way, I'm not saying all TV will be Internet-delivered in 10 years. We will have neither the bandwidth nor the power necessary in that time frame).
The question relates to the survival of existing conventional linear broadcast channels with the steady and unrelenting drift towards video streaming. Once again, you have completely avoided the 'what if...' scenario.

By the way, the reference period is 20 years. That's a long time in this world of change.
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