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				re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
			 
			 
			
		
		
		
			
			The problem with your argument is that you effectively make every general election into a referendum on a single issue (EU membership).  If the EU is sufficiently low in people's priorities, e.g. they may not like it, but are prepared to tolerate it for the time being, then it is quite possible for them to vote for a manifesto whose position on the EU is the exact opposite of their own, simply because everything else that manifesto says is more attractive to them. 
 
You are right, the SNP is all about independence, but you're ignoring the fact that the same electorate that voted the SNP into power in 2011, also voted against independence in 2014.  This is because in 2011, everything else the SNP had to say about the governance of Scotland, was more appealing to the electorate than that said by the main opposition (Labour).
		 
		
		
		
		
		
		
		
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